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Frustration with polling metrics leads to creation of unskewedpolls.com...
#1
Uhhh Huh

http://pjmedia.com/tatler/2012/09/23/ske...wed-polls/

[Image: generalelection_zps0dda1479.gif]
http://www.unskewedpolls.com/
"In 4 more OMao years you won't like how America looks....I guarantee it."
“When injustice becomes law, resistance becomes duty.” -- Thomas Jefferson
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#2
Worthless article. You have to weight by region and not state either but voting precinct if you want to weight this data and guess what.. they never have adequate sample size to do such a thing.. the best one can do is obtain voter registration % for that state and then weight it. However proper sample size should always yield the correct proportions anyway! That ie if republicans and democrats and independents all pick up the phone and complete the survey at the same rate.. if that doesn't happen you have to weight and the weighing will always be inaccurate. Couple that with the general error of collection and non compliant or competent respondents, well, that's why you calculate that margin of error
Once you have that you should know the winner quite easily. The 12 pt lead Obama has in pa should be well within the margin of error which should be around 5 points probably. If Obama wins by 7 points it doesn't matter does it? My guess is this election will mirror results from the last fairly closely with Obama doing just bearly worse in the popular vote but near exact in the electorate.
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