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Minority Report : Maryland and PA using computers to predict future crimes
#1
Here we go: NOW BE PARANOID

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-...-next.html

When police in Minority Report predicted who would commit crimes and stopped them before they did it, it was considered so futuristic, the film was set in 2054.

Now, however, law enforcers in two American states are using crime-prediction software to predict which freed prisoners are most likely to commit murder, and supervising them accordingly.

Instead of relying on parole officers to decide how much supervision inmates will need on the outside by looking at their records, the new system uses a computer algorithm to decide for them.

The Minority Report-style software is already being used in Baltimore and Philadelphia to predict future murderers, and will be extended to Washington D.C. soon.

It has been developed by Professor Richard Berk, a criminologist at the University of Pennsylvania, who believes it will reduce the murder rate and those of other crimes.

Prof. Berk says his algorithm could be used to help set bail amounts and also decide sentences in the future. It could also be modified to predict lesser crimes.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-...z2HmZpskB6
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#2
You can do this without computers and with like three questions lol.

The real question comes with what percent chance is enough to let them OUT. *dramatic theme music*
Soldats ! Faites votre devoir ! Droit au cœur mais épargnez le visage. Feu !
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#3
They've been doing this since the mid-90s. Ever hear of COMPSTAT? Basically you take all the crimes that were committed over a specific period of time and you place them on a digital map. You can narrow it down to specific crimes, specific times, etc. Once you have your data posted, you try to come up with a solution to combat those crimes in that area or specific areas (added foot patrols, additional vehicle patrols, fixing all of the street lights, etc.). A week or two later you determine if your "crime fighting strategy" worked or didn't work. Then you you figure out why it did or didn't work.
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#4
Probability theory.. amazing.. such a complex model. Rolleyes
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#5
I understand the math and principles behind this. The only thing I don't like is that it is used to target specific people for crimes they didn't commit yet.

To my way of thinking, it is one thing to see where crimes are being committed and where they are likely to be committed in the future - and come up with a generalized, not-person-specific plan to address that. I really don't like that this is now being used to single out people for further scrutiny of their future potential actions...
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#6
The real question is, if the persons are going to be suspected of committing further crimes why are they being released? It would seem that they haven't been fully rehabilitated yet.
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#7
streaker69;66358 Wrote:The real question is, if the persons are going to be suspected of committing further crimes why are they being released? It would seem that they haven't been fully rehabilitated yet.

welcome

GregorOneEye;66257 Wrote:The real question comes with what percent chance is enough to let them OUT. *dramatic theme music*

How dare you. Tongue

But really, what percent is acceptable?
Soldats ! Faites votre devoir ! Droit au cœur mais épargnez le visage. Feu !
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