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New polls out today, likely voters:
#1
Gallup: Romney +6 (51% of the vote)

CORRECTION: Rasmussen: Romney +4

On another related note, there is a University of Colorado computer model that was created in 1980 and which has correctly predicted every presidential election since it's creation.

It shows Romney winning in a massive landslide, with over 310 electoral votes, and +9% or more in popular vote.

2 more weeks....
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#2
Valorius;28654 Wrote:Gallup: Romney +6 (51% of the vote)

Reuters: Romney +4

On another related note, there is a University of Colorado computer model that was created in 1980 and which has correctly predicted every presidential election since it's creation.

It shows Romney winning in a massive landslide, with over 310 electoral votes, and +9% or more in popular vote.

2 more weeks....

I want this to be true.
Vampire pig man since September 2012
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#3
I want this to be true also. I guess we will find out soon enough.
das, proud to be a member of pa2a.org since Sep 2012.
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#4
CORRECTION on second poll, it was Rasmussen, not Reuters.

It's been being said to be a truism that no candidate has ever lost the presidential election when leading Gallup this late in the race with a 50+% share of the vote as Romney has now (he's been over 50% for about a week now). Gallup has predicted all but 3 presidential elections since 1936. They're 17-3.

Rasmussen has also historically been very accurate in it's presidential race predictions.
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#5
Here are links to the U of Colorado study:

The model was last run in August (before the first debate) but does not take into account polls, gaffes, debates or public opinion. It relies on economic factors which have not changed for months now. Basically, they are saying that no president has been re-elected with unemployment this high and gas prices this high.

http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/20...university

http://www.campusreform.org/blog/?ID=4435
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#6
I'm hoping for change, in presidents. Twothumbsup
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#7
Valorius;28654 Wrote:On another related note, there is a University of Colorado computer model that was created in 1980 and which has correctly predicted every presidential election since it's creation.

Unless you are talking about a different model, I don't think its been around since 1980....

http://hotair.com/greenroom/archives/201...y-in-2012/

"UPDATE: I am in receipt of an email from Michael Berry, one of the two professors behind the University of Colorado model. He writes: “Mr. Silver and others confuse a prediction with an estimate. Our model was developed after the 2008 election. The only election that we forecast is the 2012 election. When we populate the model with data from each of the election years from 1980 through 2008, we correctly estimate the winner in each of those elections.”"
glocke12, proud to be a member of pa2a.org since Sep 2012.
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#8
1980 is what ive seen reported on numerous sites.

After reading your link, it says the model has predicted the last 8 presidential elections correctly. 8x4=32.

2012-32= 1980

Obviously the specific data for each model has to be different.
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#9
If Miami had beat Florida State in last weekends football game, I would feel a lot more confident in a Romney win...

GB
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Certified Range Safety Officer. Proud member of the NRA, GOA and GSSF. PA2A since Sep 2012.
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#10
At this point I have little faith in polls.

People just need to get out and vote for Romney, even if it means holding their noses while doing it.
A gun rack in a pick-up is not for holding guns. Its a place for women to hold on to. Smile
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