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Poll: The presidential race is tight in Pennsylvania
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Poll: The presidential race is tight in Pennsylvania
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President Obama leads Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney by 2 percentage points in Pennsylvania in a poll conducted for the Tribune.

By Mike Wereschagin
http://triblive.com/home/2641005-74/obam...z27MjCjvSu
Published: Saturday, September 22, 2012, 9:17 p.m.
Updated 16 hours ago

Two percentage points separate President Obama and Republican nominee Mitt Romney in a state poll conducted for the Tribune-Review, even though the campaigns largely are ignoring Pennsylvania and concentrating on other battlegrounds.

Obama polled 47 percent to Romney's 45 percent among likely Pennsylvania voters, with 6 percent of voters undecided and 44 days until Election Day, according to the survey by Susquehanna Polling & Research. The survey of 800 voters, conducted Sept. 18-20, has a margin of error of 3.46 percentage points.

The poll showed most voters are disappointed with the country’s direction, evenly split on whether Obama deserves another term and hesitant to back Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts. Fifty-one percent of the state’s voters approve of Obama’s job performance.

Other recent polls showed a larger margin for Obama, leading some to speculate that Pennsylvania — which hasn’t voted for a GOP presidential candidate since 1988 — no longer is a swing state. Two of those last four polls gave Obama a lead larger than his margin of victory in 2008, when he defeated Sen. John McCain of Arizona by 10 percentage points.

“All the evidence points to a much closer margin,” said Jim Lee, Susquehanna president. “Nothing suggests we’re looking at anything like 2008.”

Voters continue to put the economy at the top of their list of concerns. Only one in three believes the country is headed in the right direction.

Yet, a deeper look at the numbers shows a more nuanced picture. Romney leads Obama, 48 percent to 44 percent, on the question of who would create jobs to speed up the recovery. Ask who looks out for the interests of the middle class and Obama leads, 56 percent to 38 percent.

“People run with the numbers without really paying attention to what’s behind them,” said Dilip Namjoshi, 66, of Abington, a Philadelphia suburb. “Somebody says, ‘I created 2 million jobs.’ Well, yes, but 600,000 of them are in China.”

Obama gained his lead on gut-level issues like that with his campaign’s early attempts to define Romney, the former head of a private-equity firm, as wealthy and out of touch, Lee said. Although Romney fought off primary challengers, Democrats developed his public persona.

“The Romney folks failed to develop a positive image in this state,” Lee said.

Leah Brooks, 63, a Republican in New Wilmington, Lawrence County, said she has a hard time reading Romney.

“He seems to mean well, but I’m not sure he always sees the whole picture. I’m not sure he can get down to where we are,” Brooks said. “I don’t blame him for it. But I’m not sure he really can see what it’s like.”

Brooks said she’s troubled by recent events in Arab countries where protesters stormed U.S. embassies and, in an apparent terrorist strike, killed a U.S. ambassador and three other Americans.

“It is important how we’re seen and how we handle ourselves,” she said.

Obama leads, 49 percent to 41 percent, among likely voters on the question of who would better defend the homeland. But voters who peg foreign affairs and international events as their top concern prefer Romney, 53 percent to 46 percent, the poll found.

“We seem to get ourselves stuck in the mud and can’t get out. I’m not sure anybody knows how to get out of the messes we’re in,” Brooks said. “It seems that what (Obama) does best is campaign. I just wish he’d get down to business.”

Politicians and government operation tie with voters’ concern about the deficit as the second-biggest problem facing the federal government, according to the poll. Thomas Hohler, 67, of Scott and other Democrats point to Republicans in Congress as the problem.

“You can’t get anything accomplished if their goal is to say no to anything Obama wants,” Hohler said. The way to solve the country’s problems “is to get members of Congress, elected officials, that are willing to work together to achieve something. I’m not sure how you can do that, or how soon that’s going to happen.”

Hohler volunteers for Obama’s campaign, though he says the past four years included disappointments.

“Obviously, Obama hasn’t done as well as I would’ve liked. On health care, I would’ve liked to see him go for single-payer or Medicare for everyone,” Hohler said. Overall, the former high school teacher gives Obama a B grade.

Joseph Mozaleski said he used to vote for Democrats before the party embraced legalized abortions. Decades later, the Republican sees increasing reliance on government assistance and rules in Obama’s health care law that require coverage of contraceptives as the consequences of a moral drift.

“Something is wrong with the moral fabric, and I think Romney has a better chance of bringing back my ideals in this country,” said Mozaleski, 62, of Sterling, Wayne County.

In Abington, Namjoshi registered to vote as a Republican in 1988 but changed his registration to independent last month, saying he’s fed up with both parties. He said he liked Texas Congressman Ron Paul’s small-government libertarian message during the GOP primaries and will watch the presidential debates to see whether either candidate says something convincing about stabilizing the country’s financial situation.

“You’ve got to be fiscally responsible. Whoever does that is probably going to get my vote,” Namjoshi said.

The debates, the first scheduled for Oct. 3, might change the dynamic of the Pennsylvania race, Lee said.

“Three in four (undecided voters) say the country’s going in the wrong direction,” Lee said. If they believe that, they’re unlikely to back the incumbent, he said. “They’re either staying home or they’re voting for Romney.”

Read more: http://triblive.com/home/2641005-74/obam...z27MjVm3zC
Follow us: @triblive on Twitter | triblive on Facebook
das, proud to be a member of pa2a.org since Sep 2012.
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#2
All you guys saying that Pa. is automatically Democrape should reconsider! Doesnt appear to be a lock for the socialist.
das, proud to be a member of pa2a.org since Sep 2012.
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#3
Yes the tribute spent tons of money to... no... all real polls show Obama ahead by 8+ points in pa the latest 12 points! That's why they aren't fighting here. Welcome to reality..http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/pa/pennsylvania_romney_vs_obama-1891.html
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#4
ExcelToExcel;12074 Wrote:Yes the tribute spent tons of money to... no... all real polls show Obama ahead by 11+ points in pa. That's why they aren't fighting here. Welcom to reality..
So are you one of the guys arent voting or making a statement by going third party? I forget.
das, proud to be a member of pa2a.org since Sep 2012.
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#5
I'm one of the guys not throwing his vote away on a guy that supports the exact same policies as Obama and voting for the one guy that actually supports us. You know the one that didn't pass a health care bill or supported the.patriot act or the TSA or wind power and solar power or the bailout and stimulus plans or huge deficit spending or bernake or... that is if republicans don't find a way to get him tossed off the ballot like they are trying so very hard to do...
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#6
ExcelToExcel;12077 Wrote:I'm one of the guys not throwing his vote away on a guy that supports the exact same policies as Obama and voting for the one guy that actually supports us. You know the one that didn't pass a health care bill or supported the.patriot act or the TSA or wind power and solar power or the bailout and stimulus plans or huge deficit spending or bernake or... that is if republicans don't find a way to get him tossed off the ballot like they are trying so very hard to do...
I understand you wanting to make your point but dont you think this election is too important for that at this moment? Even Obamas camp is saying pay no attention to the polls. What does that tell you. Im not going to do anything else to try to change your mind but I really think you should reconsider when you think about the country in O's hand for 4 more years.
das, proud to be a member of pa2a.org since Sep 2012.
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#7
It is in his hands. Obama has all but won. Simply accept that the gop handed it to him. Why? I have no idea. How in the hell we are going to lose to this guy is beyond all understanding. All we needed to do was put up a normal person not some libtard running under the gop banner..

Most republicans i know (real people not political ones) are shaking their heads in disbelief. They refuse to vote this year but they hate obama but they can't vote for romney. The only ones voting are the die hard republicans. The dems I know aren't even going to vote this year because they hate Obama too! We should have walked away with this one easily.

Regardless, reality is reality. There are no polls, zero, zilch, nada that have romney winning pa.. none...

Time to face reality and put the blame squarely where it should be. The gop screwed the pooch more than once this year. Tapped that bitch like r.Kelly.



das;12080 Wrote:
ExcelToExcel;12077 Wrote:I'm one of the guys not throwing his vote away on a guy that supports the exact same policies as Obama and voting for the one guy that actually supports us. You know the one that didn't pass a health care bill or supported the.patriot act or the TSA or wind power and solar power or the bailout and stimulus plans or huge deficit spending or bernake or... that is if republicans don't find a way to get him tossed off the ballot like they are trying so very hard to do...
I understand you wanting to make your point but dont you think this election is too important for that at this moment? Even Obamas camp is saying pay no attention to the polls. What does that tell you. Im not going to do anything else to try to change your mind but I really think you should reconsider when you think about the country in O's hand for 4 more years.

My vote your vote, everyone's vote except for a vote for Obama will make no difference in the outcome of the election thus year but voting for Johnson (if enough people wake the Fuck up and get it) would have a massive impact.
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#8
Lol

Remember John Kerry was gonna win in a landslide!??

Same truth now
"In 4 more OMao years you won't like how America looks....I guarantee it."
“When injustice becomes law, resistance becomes duty.” -- Thomas Jefferson
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#9
das;12068 Wrote:All you guys saying that Pa. is automatically Democrape should reconsider! Doesnt appear to be a lock for the socialist.
I hope not!

I was watching the sunday morning news shows, and they were ALL crowing about how Obama is increasing his lead in all the battleground states (which may or may not be true), and the WHOLE show on all three channels was directed at ROMNEY mistakes....they didn't even talk about the Economy, Gunrunner, or ANY of Obama's disgusting socialist crap.

It's almost as if they want him to win. Oh...wait.

They do.
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#10
ExcelToExcel;12074 Wrote:Yes the tribute spent tons of money to... no... all real polls show Obama ahead by 8+ points in pa the latest 12 points! That's why they aren't fighting here. Welcome to reality..http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/pa/pennsylvania_romney_vs_obama-1891.html

Welcome to "excel's" reality where only certain polls count. Yes, they tend to favor the leftist view, but everyone knows that the commie left is better than those waskawy wepubwicans!

Big Grin
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